Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Expert Advice : Three Little Flying Monkeys

This list is whittling down given the musical chairs.

Analyst / S&P 2008 EOY prediction / S&P 2009 EOY prediction / S&P 2010 EOY prediction

Thomas Lee 1590 / 1100 / 1300
JP Morgan

Tobias Levkovich 1675 / 1000 / 1150

Larry Adam 1640 / 1025 / 1200
Deutsche Bank


Dave Narby said...

Ahh... The straight line predictive method.

Anonymous Monetarist said...

And not doubt that is their intention ... speaking of same...

In 2003, lecturers and students from the University of Plymouth MediaLab Arts course used a £2,000 grant from the Arts Council to study the literary output of real monkeys. They left a computer keyboard in the enclosure of six Celebes Crested Macaques in Paignton Zoo in Devon in England for a month, with a radio link to broadcast the results on a website. One researcher, Mike Phillips, defended the expenditure as being cheaper than reality TV and still "very stimulating and fascinating viewing".
Not only did the monkeys produce nothing but five pages consisting largely of the letter S, the lead male began by bashing the keyboard with a stone, and the monkeys continued by urinating and defecating on it. The zoo's scientific officer remarked that the experiment had "little scientific value, except to show that the 'infinite monkey' theory is flawed". Phillips said that the artist-funded project was primarily performance art, and they had learned "an awful lot" from it. He concluded that monkeys "are not random generators. They're more complex than that. … They were quite interested in the screen, and they saw that when they typed a letter, something happened. There was a level of intention there."